Executive Summary of A Real Option
Framework for Business Application
Real
options are useful tools for management.
In our studies, we defined a real option as a contract or right to buy or
sell something real at a specified price over a period in a narrow sense. We can create any types of real options
by contracts. Real options are
good for assets and huge projects with uncertain value changes. The writer company can hedge the value
change risk of the underlying asset or project and get premiums from the buyer
of the real option contract. The
writer may use the money for developing a new product. While the buyer can get the preemptive
right to buy or sell the underlying asset or project by paying the real option
premium, which is far less than the actual value of the asset or project. That is, the buyer can invest in the
asset or project with the limited risk of the real option premium. If the underlying asset or project is
successful, the buyer can get unlimited profits. If the underlying asset or project is expected to fail, the
buyer should ignore the paid premium.
The definition of the real option in a narrow sense tells us that a
variety of real options can be created by the contract and that a variety of
real option valuation models can be developed case by case with the value
change pattern of the underlying asset or project. In a strict sense, the Black-Sholes model is only for the
financial options whose underlying assets have markets and the price movement
follows the geometric Brownian motion.
Our ROV model is for the general type of the real option whose
underlying asset or project does not always have flexible movement, and shows
only an approximate theoretical value.
The real option has unlimited possibilities with limited risks in the
real world. It can be ubiquitous
in our daily lives, if it is widely used in the real world other than business. The real option could make our world
more efficient, more effective, safer and more prosperous. It would change uncertainty, idleness,
sleepiness and redundancy into money.
It would create new businesses and new job markets. The specialist of the real option will
sooner or later break new ground in the real world.